Tanda-tanda Pelemahan Rupiah Mulai Terasa

Ilustrasi Dolar AS dan Rupiah (CNBC Indonesia/Muhammad Sabki)

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Nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat (AS) tampaknya akan melemah di perdagangan pasar spot hari ini. Tanda-tanda depresiasi rupiah sudah terlihat di pasar Non-Deliverable Market (NDF).

Berikut kurs dolar AS di pasar NDF beberapa saat jelang penutupan perdagangan spot akhir pekan lalu dibandingkan hari ini, Senin (23/3/2020), mengutip data Refinitiv:

PeriodeKurs 20 Maret (15:54 WIB)Kurs 23 Maret (07:07 WIB)
1 PekanRp 15.951Rp 15.926
1 BulanRp 16.055Rp 16.320
2 BulanRp 16.170Rp 16.429
3 BulanRp 16.355Rp 16.563,68
6 BulanRp 16.460Rp 16.866,1
9 BulanRp 16.930Rp 17.013,82
1 TahunRp 17.130Rp 17.130
2 TahunRp 18.179,3Rp 17.705

Berikut kurs Domestic NDF (DNDF) yang kali terakhir diperbarui pada 20 Maret pukul 15:07 WIB:

PeriodeKurs
1 BulanRp 15.995
3 BulanRp 16.345

 

NDF adalah instrumen yang memperdagangkan mata uang dalam jangka waktu tertentu dengan patokan kurs tertentu pula. Sebelumnya pasar NDF belum ada di Indonesia, hanya tersedia di pusat-pusat keuangan internasional seperti Singapura, Hong Kong, New York, atau London.

Pasar NDF seringkali mempengaruhi psikologis pembentukan harga di pasar spot. Oleh karena itu, kurs di NDF tidak jarang diikuti oleh pasar spot. Padahal NDF sebelumnya murni dimainkan oleh investor asing, yang mungkin kurang mendalami kondisi fundamental perekonomian Indonesia.

Bank Indonesia (BI) pun kemudian membentuk pasar DNDF. Meski tenor yang disediakan belum lengkap, tetapi ke depan diharapkan terus bertambah.

Dengan begitu, psikologis yang membentuk rupiah di pasar spot diharapkan bisa lebih rasional karena instrumen NDF berada di dalam negeri. Rupiah di pasar spot tidak perlu selalu membebek pasar NDF yang sepenuhnya dibentuk oleh pasar asing.

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